Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 6/4/14

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Your goal is to hit outcomes. The higher the number, the more points you get. Choose players who will hit their marks and you win.

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Today's picks are brought to you by new DFSR contributor Mike AKA Spetty.

Total Bases

Chris Davis
Davis is my clear-cur #1 pick today. Though he’s started somewhat slow in the power department this year, from 2013 to present he still sports an elite wOBA and ISO .442/.365 vs. RHP. Nick Martinez has been pretty decent vs. left-handed batters this year as indicated by his 1.31 ERA,  however, his xFIP of 5.97 is a full 4.5 runs higher than his current ERA and portends that a huge regression is coming sooner than later. Roll Davis out with confidence today, you won’t be disappointed.

Paul Goldschmidt
Goldschmidt is primarily known as a lefty-masher, however what many don’t realize is that he’s actually a relatively equal-splits guy. So far this year, he has a .391 wOBA and a .233 ISO. While not elite, it’s pretty damn good, and considering many of our top options have injury concerns (Trout, CarGo etc), Goldy is definitely in play today (especially at Coors Field, where routine flyballs regularly turn into HR’s). He’s facing Jordan Lyles, who is average at best vs. RHB. Throw in the fact that he has a little extra motivation after being benched vs. lefty Jorge De La Rosa last night, and Goldy makes for a solid play.

Hits

Daniel Murphy
Murphy doesn’t have a ton of power, but fortunately that doesn’t matter in the hits category. The bottom line is that he’s always a threat to get multiple hits vs. right-handed pitchers. With a .288 batting average against right-handed pitchers from 2013 to present, he’s proven adept at hitting them. Today he gets to face Edwin Jackson, who put plainly, just sucks. Jackson has a .357 batting average on balls in play vs lefties this year, and given Murphy’s extremely low 9.8% strikeout rate, putting the ball in play is what he does well, which should lead to some hits for Murphy today.

Nick Markakis
You may be noticing a theme here: pick on Nick Martinez. I know, everyone hates Nick Markakis. He’s been a serial under-performer his entire career, but as he’s been showing this year, he hits pretty well vs right-handed pitching. He doesn’t have the power or the speed that everyone expected he would when he was younger, but with a .296 batting average and a very low 9.1% strikeout rate vs right-handed pitchers, he puts the bat on the ball frequently, and when targeting a pitcher who’s due for as a big a regression vs LHB as Nick Martinez is, it’s a matchup to target.

Strikeouts

Stephen Strasburg
I generally hate going chalk. It just seems like the easy way out, however in the case of Strasburg tonight, it makes total sense and to not target him as a strikeout leader would be foolish. Strasburg is a decidedly better pitcher at home vs. on the road. Tonight he gets to face the Phillies. Yep, those same Phillies who’ve been shut down by (and K’d quite a bit) Zack Wheeler, Bartolo Colon and Jordan Zimmerman over the past three days. Needless to say, they’re struggling mightily. They strike out at a rate of 20.9% vs right-handed pitchers, and obviously when you’re talking about Strasburg vs. the averages, their K rate will be higher. For his part, Stras is averaging almost 11 K’s per 9 innings. Given the combination of the Phillies struggles, Strasburg’s elite strikeout rate and the fact that he’s pitching at home, he’s the clear-cut #1 option today for strikeouts.

Corey Kuber
All aboard the Kluber train! Kluber has been phenomenal this year and his strikeout rate has been a Strasburg-ish 10.69/9 innings. The Red Sox are striking out at a fairly robust 21.3% clip vs RHP so far this year, and some of their best bats va right-handed pitchers (Napoli, Victorino, Carp etc)  are relegated to the DL. So what does all of this mean? Kluber is the #1A in the strikeout category today. Run him out there knowing that especially at home vs. an injury-riddled, somewhat strikeout-prone team to begin with, he’s one of the best options on the board.

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