Quick picks coming for Saturday because our Friday was, well the kind of Friday you would expect from this crew. Mister March has the plays and HoopDreams chimes in with some additional dudes.
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John Wall - FanDuel $8,600 DraftKings $9,400 DraftStreet $17,865
Wall is available for a bit of a discount (except on DK), and it's hard to understand why. He's put up 40+ FPs/game basically all season, and there's upside for more. He faces a league-average ATL defense in terms of preventing opposing PGs from scoring FPs, and I think Wall settles in the 45+ FPs range tonight.
Ramon Sessions - FanDuel $5,800 DraftKings $6,200 DraftStreet $12,247
As unexciting as Sessions might be, he's played 44 minutes in his last two games, and he's boasting a higher usage rate and a higher drive % than when he was in CHA. The only thing keeping him out of the top slot tonight is the Miami matchup. But I'm optimistic that Sessions will be out there rain or shine.
Brandon Jennings - FanDuel $6,400 DraftKings $7,200 DraftStreet $12,732
Jennings is almost comically feast or famine, but what better time to feast than against Philly? Jennings' game log might have the same shape as a heart rate monitor, but he gets a draw tonight that's too good to be ignored. It might be a little weird, but I'd play him in both double ups and GPPs tonight.
Michael Carter-Williams - FanDuel $7,500 DraftKings $8,100 DraftStreet $14,540
MCW will drive you crazy some nights (and I say you because I have PTSD from playing him too much earlier in the season. Still too emotional), but the bottom line is that he's playing 38 minutes a night in an up-tempo offense with no other options. If Philly stays in the game, MCW can threaten triple doubles and produce 7x on this #. If they get run out of the gym, it will be because MCW is 3-14 with 5 turnovers. The minutes give some safety, but no Sixer can ever be called safe.
Quick Addition
Jeremy Lin - FanDuel $5,000 DraftKings $5,800 DraftStreet $11,262
With Patrick Beverley down and out Lin will take the starter's role. He can produce with the minutes and is worth a look especially on DK and FD where the price is low.
Ben McLemore - FanDuel $3,700 DraftKings $3,600 DraftStreet $6,609
The young fella is making the most of Thomas' absence, and the price is ridiculous if he's going to play 40 minutes in any given game. Play him until the price climbs back up or Thomas returns.
James Harden - FanDuel $9,600 DraftKings $10,300 DraftStreet $19,750
Harden has ripped off some massive games against inferior competition recently, and I expect this trend to continue against Jamal Crawford and company tonight in a pretty high profile match up. Harden can totally disappear on you, but he can also carry you. Given the train wreck that is SG tonight, Harden will be a huge start.
James Anderson - FanDuel $5,100 DraftKings $4,400 DraftStreet $9,602
Well, well, well. If it isn't our old DFSR friend James Anderson. Back from a few games off (and then a few games of shaking the rust off), Anderson has posted 30+ FPs his last 2 games, and faces Detroit's league average D tonight. Love him in any format, and I'm penciling him in for at least 30 FPs tonight.
Tyreke Evans - FanDuel $8,200 DraftKings $7,900 DraftStreet $15,207
You can't hate on Evans' skills, but that price has been inching hire every single night. He draws the Spurs, which is not an easy match up for SGs, but the 50+ FPs upside from a player in the low $8k range is too good to ignore in GPPs.
Vince Carter - FanDuel $5,500 DraftKings $5,500 DraftStreet $10,158
Vince has been paying in the 5x range on this price for the last 5 games, and he gets his best matchup of that stretch tonight. The Mavs have quietly been horrendous against opposing SGs recently, surrendering 12% more FPs than league average to opposing SGs in their last 15 games.
Monta Ellis - FanDuel $7,400 DraftKings $8,300 DraftStreet $14,306
Don't mind him for cash game plays, though he worked on crushing souls on Thursday.
LeBron James - FanDuel $10,500 DraftKings $10,100 DraftStreet $22,046
It's the Bucks, right? So the blowout risk is very real. But Lebron has been one of the safest bets in the $10k+ range recently, and remains so tonight. It's almost impossible to see him putting up less than 4, and if the Wade/Allen injuries somehow keep the Bucks in the game, Lebron could really do some serious damage out there tonight.
Chandler Parsons - FanDuel $6,700 DraftKings $7,000 DraftStreet $13,404
Parsons has produced nicely on this price all year, and now that he's down from his peak prices of the high $7k range, he makes for a very nice and affordable play against the Clips. He feels like a pretty safe bet to score a 5x pts/$ multiplier tonight.
DeMarre Carroll - FanDuel $5,600 DraftKings $5,300 DraftStreet $10,896
The luster is off Carroll a little bit recently, but 30+ FPs is absolutely in play against a Washington team that has been terrible at covering the SF position recently. They've given up 16% more FPs to opposing SFs than league average over their last 15 games, and Carroll should make the most of it.
Josh Smith - FanDuel $7,700 DraftKings $7,400 DraftStreet $14,773
Smoove is the quintessential front-runner - retreating from big match ups, and crushing it against the bottom feeders. Enter Philadelphia. Just no way Smith doesn't get his against this abomination of a D-league team.
Shawn Marion - FanDuel $5,200 DraftKings $5,500 DraftStreet $10,415
The Matrix has been up and down recently, but you could do a lot worse in terms of upside on a $5k price tag. It's just a question as to whether you'll get lazy Matrix or energized Matrix. A risk to take in a GPP, not a double-up.
Blake Griffin - FanDuel $10,100 DraftKings $10,100 DraftStreet $19,984
For all of Terrence Jones' offensive gifts, the Rockets have allowed 9% more FPs to opposing PFs than league average this season.. and Blake is playing 40 minutes a game. 40 minutes of Blake against the Rockets means 45+ FPs, or I'll eat yogurt tomorrow for breakfast.*
*I'll eat yogurt tomorrow for breakfast regardless.
Terrence Jones - FanDuel $6,200 DraftKings $6,500 DraftStreet $13,577
Jones seems to be moving into a more trusted role with the Rockets? I'm not the guy to ask about Jones, because he has cost me thousands of dollars when he's been on my team and against my team. I can't be rational. But the numbers love Jones tonight, so I guess I do too?
Paul Millsap - FanDuel $7,400 DraftKings $7,800 DraftStreet $16,547
Millsap's price has eroded quite a bit recently, and for good reason, but he remains a guy with 50+ FPs upside on a $7k price tag. The upside is just tremendous here, even if his median performance will be paying 4x.
Dirk Nowitzki - FanDuel $7,600 DraftKings $7,800 DraftStreet $14,454
Dirk is playing more recently, and his price doesn't totally reflect that. His heady offensive game will almost certainly be too much for the scattered Kings, who rely on athleticism when they make any defensive dent at all. Dirk feels like a solid bet for 5x, and there's upside for more if the game stays close.
Greg Monroe - FanDuel $7,700 DraftKings $7,600 DraftStreet $14,403
Monroe has cooled off a little after the huge games he posted in 40+ minutes a week and a half ago, but dude, it's Philly. At the very least, he'll pay 5x on this price.. though I'm not convinced there's a ton of upside here.
Thaddeus Young - FanDuel $8,100 DraftKings $7,500 DraftStreet $14,110
Like him for the upside if he puts a full game together.
Alexis Ajinca - FanDuel $3,900 DraftKings $4,000 DraftStreet $8,894
Ajinca filled in fantastically when Brow went down with his ankle issue - and the price is just a joke for a guy who is going to play 30 effective minutes. Spend elsewhere, and play Ajinca.
Henry Sims - FanDuel $5,400 DraftKings $4,600 DraftStreet $11,680
Sims is just a real player, playing real minutes, for an incredibly bad team. We've talked about Detroit's lack of an interior defense all season, and this certainly benefits Sims' raw game. I'm prepared for a huge game here, and if I don't play Ajinca, it will be because I wanted to make the money work elsewhere, and I could fit in Sims.
DeMarcus Cousins - FanDuel $10,300 DraftKings $10,000 DraftStreet $21,773
So you've just got too much money saved up, and you want to spend on a center? Cousins has to be your man. A less than ideal match up against the Mavs, but Boogie has a game that seems to translate to any opponent. Only the pace of the game could slow him down, and I don't see it happening.
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