Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
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Total Bases
Carlos Gonzalez
He hasn't been his normal self this season. And he isn't in Coors Field. But many of the other big bats are facing stout pitching today and I want to avoid that completely. Cargo gets Josh Tomlin, a fine enough pitcher, but no great shakes over his career. I think Cargo is off radars today and this is a solid spot to grab him as he's been running a little bad in Babip this season.
Jacoby Ellsbury
I'm buying Ellsbury on a simple idea. He faces a flyball pitcher in Yankee Stadium. Ellsbury has yet to really capitalize on the short porch in right thanks in part to a Hr/Fb rate below his career average. Ellsbury is not a power hitter. But he's a good hitter. I love his chance at multiple bases today against Hughes whose fatal flaw as a Yankee was the home run.
Hits
Jose Altuve
Is a lefty killer. Plus he's short. Don't know if the latter affects the former, but I always like throwing it out there. The great thing about Altuve is that he doesn't strike out and he doesn't walk. That means, for better or worse, the ball gets put in play. He owns a 132 wRC+ against lefties, and it's worth it to note than much of that is on the account of him hitting the ball. He is our top pick to grab multiple hits today.
Melky Cabrera
Always in play when we are talking about shooting for hits in a game. Especially in play when there is a soft-tossing righty like Jeremy Guthrie on the mound. Melky has big splits in favor of hitting righties and Guthrie couldn't strike you out. Yes you. The ball will be in play from the MelkMan's bat today.
Strikeouts
There are some true studs going today. Picking among them will be tough. You'll see some big names populating the strikeout category. But we must choose, we must.
Yu Darvish
A K man's K man. Darvish is running slightly below his K/9 averages from last season, but we are only disappointed when comparing him to himself. Compared to everyone else? Well, there aren't many like him. The Nats strike out 21% of the time and rank near the bottom of the league against righties. Yu should plow through this lineup and has the added bonus of facing the pitcher, most likely, at least twice. Our system has him as the run away favorite in strikeouts today.
Chris Sale
The Padres will really struggle with Sale today. Mostly because the Padres are bad. And because Sale is awesome. That's the high level analysis you've come to expect from us. You're welcome. The Dads don't have the highest K% in the league, coming in at around 20%. But Sale's true gift is the punch out. I also like his chances of going late in this game because he's able to limit the walks. He should be able to accrue a fair amount of K's in this matchup.
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